Polls gave Hillary a 92% chance of victory in 2016 lol.
This is actually false by the way. One of the lies that keeps getting reposted around.
It's people not understanding the difference between polls, prediction sites, betting sites etc.
Prediction sites said that and their predictions are based on polls and other data.
Actual polls never had Hillary at 92, that doesn't even make any sense. Let's look at the last actual poll before the 2016 Election:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...s/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
Real Clear Politics takes the average of polls, it's actually very accurate.
Now look at the very top of the poll.
The last poll before the election had Hillary Clinton at +3.2%. She won the Popular vote by 2.1%. So that average of polls was just off 1%.
Also, Biden is far ahead of Clinton at the same time. She was only up 1%, Biden is up 6.5%, so he's outpacing her.
Of course we're not a true democracy, if we were, we would have Dem Presidents every time, so it's about the Electoral College.
No Toss Up Map has:
Biden - 353
Trump - 185
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...ctions_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html
Toss Up Map has:
Biden - 222
Trump - 125
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html
You need 270 to win.
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Also Dems are more fired up. Trump does a great job of firing up his base, but guess who he fires up more:
August 2020 Monthly Campaign Committee Reports
Biden - Total raised in August: $212,181,474
Trump - Total raised in August: $61,750,338
Biden raised more than $150,000,000 over Trump in August. September should be just as good for Biden since Trump/supporters are getting excited about getting a new judge that will go against the majority of Americans, since the majority are Pro-Choice. Then possibly killing ACA, which will result in Americans dying. This just fires up the left even more. That, the debates, the leaks coming in October, all the Never Trumper voters, the fired up left, I expect Biden's lead to grow even more.