So, to summarize:
1. Rob Monster is back as an empoloyee (officially) and as an owner of a new Epik (unofficially).
2. In this position, he has good chances to to convince ICANN to close the breach notice without any noticeable consequences. Why? Unlike Brian Royce, he has enough experience in domaining and registrar operations field.
3. All (or almost all) US-based victims are now paid.
4. Non-US victims did not start lawsuits yet, did not hire US-based lawyers yet, and will unlikely do so in future.
The show must go on?
So, what are the chances for remaining victims to be paid? Zero?
I would take the opposite conclusion.
The issues with Epik started under Rob.
It seems very sketchy that someone that got sued for not paying out owed money would need (or want) to "buy back" their own registrar.
Remember there is that liabilities clause in the ICANN agreement that the "sale" of Epik seemingly broke, along with several other parts of the agreement that were likely broken too, ie registrar sale & registrar owner(s) were likely NOT vetted by ICANN ahead of the sale.
There even are unconfirmed reports on this forum that the actual sale of Epik fell through and that is how Rob is alleged to end up with it again (in which case there may have been TWO registrar transfers with most likely neither of them pre-approved by ICANN).
Considering people are STILL sometimes having issues with payments, domains, transfers, support, etc. since the sale, the issues can't be considered resolved either.
Lastly, but certainly not least, ICANN released a blog post about Epik which is
VERY, VERY unusual, basically saying fix everything within 21 days or get decertified.
I am not a betting man, but if I was, I wouldn't bet against ICANN. It is hard to get the ball rolling, but once it does, it is even harder to stop it, especially when the underlying issues haven't been resolved yet and NEW / recurring issues seemingly keep appearing too. Also, all the bad publicity Epik has generated in the domaining industry over the last several years certainly hasn't helped Epik gain any goodwill and also caused ICANN several bad headaches I am sure.